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This trend became even more acute in 2015. The Conservatives pulled off their surprise victory by winning votes just where they needed them, such as in Liberal Democrat-held seats in the south west of England - which is now almost entirely blue. Meanwhile in safe Tory seats, they gained few votes. On the other hand, Labour piled up lots of extra votes in seats it already held comfortably. So nationally their vote share went up even as they lost seats overall. Flipside In the political science jargon, the Conservative vote has become more "efficient", with fewer votes wasted, while Labour's is more inefficient. So Labour could lose quite a lot of those votes without seeing a particularly dramatic reduction in its number of seats. The flipside of this for Labour is that fewer marginal seats also means the swing it would need to win an overall majority of its own is much higher than it would have been in the past. Analysis by polling expert John Curtice suggests that Labour needs a national swing of nearly 10% to win a majority.

Following an injury and subsequent ACL reconstruction in my left knee two years later, I found myself unable to run at allcrippled with painful patellar tendonitis. Trying different sneakers didnt work, running less didnt work, and running off-road didnt work. So I figured, What the hell? and gave the barefoot running thing a shot. I tried out my Vibram FiveFinger s for the first time on a foggy morning running up Mount Flume on New Hampshires Franconia Ridge, reveling in the feeling of the woodsy path so close to my soles. VibramFive Fingers running shoes. Credit: Ben Schumin Wikimedia (CC BY-SA 3.0) It was 2013, and the height of Vibram shoe craze. The minimalist, slipper-like foot sleeves flew off the shelves as runners and consumers alike hopped on board the barefoot train. I, too, was a willing passenger, hoping these shoes-that-werent-shoes might allow me to once again run in peace. I ran with insatiable enthusiasm following my new acquisitions, liberated from laces and tight toe boxes. But romantic treks up wilderness peaks aside; perhaps I shouldve read the fine print first.

For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/the-science-of-barefoot-running-a-personal-journey/

The minimalist, slipper-like foot sleeves flew off the shelves as runners and consumers alike hopped on board the barefoot train. I, too, was a willing passenger, hoping these shoes-that-werent-shoes might allow me to once again run in peace. I ran with insatiable enthusiasm following my new acquisitions, liberated from laces and tight toe boxes. But romantic treks up wilderness peaks aside; perhaps I shouldve read the fine print first. Two months later all I had to show for my efforts were shin splints and a bad temper. The muscles in the front of my lower leg screamed in pain, having been worked too much too fast. This unfortunate occurrence, causal or not, sparked an obsession with why barefoot running didnt seem to work for me. I was convinced Vibrams lay at the heart of my locomotor woes. So I read everything I could, starting with McDougalls book, and dedicated the rest of my undergraduate career to the study of the foot, trying to figure out what went wrong. Born To Run, McDougalls expose about the indigenous Tarahumara of Mexico, enigmatic ultramarathoners who wore the thinnest sandals, drew on research by human evolutionary biologist Dan Lieberman at Harvard University, who claimed that our early human ancestors ran barefoot and that modern running shoes dont really prevent injuries.

For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/the-science-of-barefoot-running-a-personal-journey/

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